Will You Lose Your Treasuries if the U.S. Defaults on Its Debt? Suze Orman Has an Answer (2024)

Stick to worrying about what you can control.

The U.S. has debt. A lot of debt. About $31 trillion dollars worth, which is $94,000 per U.S. taxpayer. Some members of Congress have threatened to prevent the government from lifting the debt ceiling, leaving the nation to default on its dollars.

Right now, the U.S. federal budget deficit sits at 1.4 trillion. American voters have concerns, and rightly so. A big question mark is what happens to personal savings and investments if the country defaults on debt.

Suze Orman, financial guru, recently addressed whether you will lose your Treasuries if the U.S. defaults on its debt on her Women and Money podcast.

This is what Suze Orman thinks of a U.S. default

Suze Orman said, "The short answer is there is no place to hide. If the U.S. government defaults, it would be cataclysmic. Which is why I have a high level of confidence… it just won't happen."

In other words, Orman thinks the consequences are too severe for U.S. congresspeople to follow through on threats to let the U.S. default on its debt. Everyone from foreign governments (which hold trillions in U.S. Treasuries) to insurers would be affected.

Suze Orman spoke to Sheila Blair, former chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), who shares Orman's opinion. They believe that despite the drama in Congress right now, the chance of the U.S. government defaulting on its debt is tiny.

While no one knows precisely what a default would entail, consumers can rest assured that their Treasuries and certificates of deposit are reasonably safe.

No money is 100% safe from a default

Orman acknowledges that no money is 100% safe from a U.S. default: "A large portion of the 24 trillion dollars is held by foreign countries… the consequences would be cataclysmic." The consequences of a default would ripple beyond North America.

At the very least, everyone in Congress is strongly motivated to raise the debt ceiling or otherwise avoid default. No one wants to be responsible for throwing a country into crisis.

Don't let anyone tell you that an investment is 100% safe -- no investment is. Systems change. But history suggests U.S. Treasuries are one of the safest places to invest your money.

Prevent and prepare for bad weather

Sticking to your financial plan is the best way to prepare for a default. Long-term savers should consider voting for rational candidates and diversifying their investments.

Vote for rational candidates

Voting is top of the list of things U.S. citizens can do to prevent a U.S. default. Vote for rational candidates who understand the terrible consequences a U.S. default would have. It's a little late for that this year, but it's something to remember during the upcoming election cycle.

Diversify your investments

In the meantime, stay diversified. Diversified investments steady your portfolio. Diversification creates a foundation that better weathers unexpected financial disasters, including a potentially earth-shaking U.S. default.

It's a good idea to save an emergency fund. Consider stashing six months of earnings in a high-yield savings account to prepare for the unexpected. You can lean on your emergency savings to avoid drawing on long-term savings during a market crash or if you lose your job.

Another way to diversify is to invest in property. Even if the market value of a property drops, a home can be lived in or rented out. Unused property can be listed on Airbnb or similar short-term rental websites to earn rental income.

Keep up with sound financial habits

Worries abound, but one of the best things you can do is maintain good financial habits. Do you have a long-term plan? Don't let the threat of a U.S. default dissuade you. There's no use in worrying about what you can't control. Continue saving money in the manner that works best for you.

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Will You Lose Your Treasuries if the U.S. Defaults on Its Debt? Suze Orman Has an Answer (2024)

FAQs

Will You Lose Your Treasuries if the U.S. Defaults on Its Debt? Suze Orman Has an Answer? ›

Suze Orman said, "The short answer is there is no place to hide. If the U.S. government defaults, it would be cataclysmic. Which is why I have a high level of confidence… it just won't happen."

Do US Treasury bills have default risk? ›

Treasury Bills, or T-bills, represent short-term debt obligations by the Treasury. Because the U.S. government backs them, they are considered extremely low-risk, although they also have relatively low returns.

What does Suze Orman say about Treasury bonds? ›

“Treasuries are used to fund the national debt. And as I just said, they are considered the safest of all bonds because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government,” Orman said in an October 2023 episode of her Orman's Women & Money podcast.

Can I lose money on treasury bills? ›

The No. 1 advantage that T-bills offer relative to other investments is the fact that there's virtually zero risk that you'll lose your initial investment. The government backs these securities so there's much less need to worry that you could lose money in the deal compared to other investments.

Are US treasuries still safe? ›

U.S. Treasury bonds are fixed-income securities. They're considered low-risk investments and are generally risk-free when held to maturity. That's because Treasury bonds are issued with the full faith and credit of the federal government.

What is default risk in Treasury? ›

Counterparty risk is the risk that a counterparty to a contract will not perform their part of the contract, such as repay a deposit of cash, settle an invoice or supply goods when due. This is called 'default risk'. It also refers to how much of the contract is performed.

Do US Treasury bonds have almost zero default risk? ›

These spreads reflect how much extra yield investors demand to hold corporate bonds over Treasury notes and bonds, which are considered the safest financial instruments because there is a near-zero chance of default by the U.S. government.

What is one downside to investing in Treasuries? ›

But while they are lauded for their security and reliability, potential drawbacks such as interest rate risk, low returns and inflation risk must be carefully considered. If you're interested in investing in Treasury bonds or have other questions about your portfolio, consider speaking with a financial advisor.

Are Treasury bills 100% safe? ›

T-bills are known to be low-risk short-term investments when held to maturity since the U.S. government guarantees them. Investors owe federal taxes on any income earned but no state or local tax.

Why is my Treasury bill losing value? ›

Inflation. This is the rate at which the price of goods and services in the economy rises and is perhaps the greatest risk to T-bill investors. Rising inflation erodes the value of interest payments. Inflation can exceed the investment return and eat into the principal's value.

Are Treasuries safer than CDs? ›

CDs and Treasuries Offer a High Degree of Safety

Both CDs and Treasuries are considered extremely safe investments. Treasuries are backed directly by the federal government, while CDs are covered by FDIC insurance – which is also backed by the federal government.

Are U.S. Treasuries safer than cash? ›

A Treasury bill, or T-bill, is a short-term debt obligation backed by the U.S. Treasury Department. It's one of the safest places you can save your cash, as it's backed by the full faith and credit of the government. T-bills are auctioned off at a discount and then redeemed at maturity for the full amount.

Are U.S. Treasuries protected? ›

All these securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government.

Why Treasury bills do not default? ›

Treasury bonds, notes, and bills have no default risk since the U.S. government guarantees them. Investors will receive the bond's face value if they hold it to maturity. However, if sold before maturity, your gain or loss depends on the difference between the initial price and what you sold the Treasury for.

Are Treasury bills safer than FDIC? ›

Both CDs and Treasuries are considered extremely safe investments. Treasuries are backed directly by the federal government, while CDs are covered by FDIC insurance – which is also backed by the federal government. In fact, no depositor has lost a penny of FDIC-insured funds since the FDIC was founded in 1933.

Is it true that Treasury bills are a risk-free asset? ›

If held to maturity, T-bills are considered virtually risk-free.

Do Treasury bills have credit risk? ›

They are considered risk-free, as the government can always print the money to pay back the debt. And given that they have only a short time to maturity, they have very little sensitivity to interest rate moves. If interest rates rise, the bonds don't fall much in value.

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